The Bank of England has moved a step closer to adopting negative interest after writing to banks asking them how ready they would be for the ground-breaking move.
Sam Woods, one of Threadneedle Street’s deputy governors, has asked banks what steps they would need to take in the event that official borrowing costs were pushed below zero.
Woods said: “For a negative bank rate to be effective as a policy tool, the financial sector – as the key transmission mechanism of monetary policy – would need to be operationally ready to implement it in a way that does not adversely affect the safety and soundness of firms.”
Although Woods said his letter was not an indication that the Bank would adopt negative interest rates for the first time in its 326-year history, he made it clear that officials needed to know whether there were operational or technological challenges involved in such a move.
“As part of this work, we are requesting specific information about your firm’s current readiness to deal with a zero bank rate, a negative bank rate, or a tiered system of reserves remuneration – and the steps that you would need to take to prepare for the implementation of these.”
The Bank cut interest rates to 0.1% at the start of the Covid-19 crisis and has been looking into the possibility of following the example of other central banks, such as the European Central Bank, which have deployed negative rates for some time.
In the past, Threadneedle Street has been cautious about pushing interest rates below zero, due to concerns that doing so would harm the profitability of high street banks and lead to a backlash from savers. Banks make profits by charging a higher rate of interest to borrowers than they do to savers, and traditionally it has been thought that negative rates would lead to a narrowing of this “spread”.
Andrew Bailey, the Bank’s governor, has said that just because negative rates are part of its “tool kit” it does not mean that they will be used by Threadneedle Street.
Woods set a deadline of 12 November – a week after the Bank’s nine-strong monetary policy committee next meets – for banks to respond.
Financial markets are betting on the Bank eventually adopting negative interest rates next spring, but think the MPC’s next move will be an expansion of its quantitative easing programme, whereby it creates money through the purchase of government and commercial bonds.
“We recognise that a negative policy rate could have wider implications for your firm’s business and your customers”, Woods said in his letter. “The Bank and the Prudential Regulation Authority will consider the wider business implications, including on financial stability, safety and soundness of authorised firms and pass-through to the wider economy.”