- Tech stocks’ rally through recent months is “so similar” to the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s, the billionaire entrepreneur Mark Cuban said on Monday.
- “Everybody’s a genius in a bull market, and everybody’s making money right now” because of the Federal Reserve’s unprecedented monetary relief, Cuban told CNBC.
- The rally could even continue for years, as the dot-com bubble lasted from 1995 to early 2000, he said.
- It’s “difficult to have patience sometimes” knowing that prices could outpace fundamentals even further, Cuban said.
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Even as the tech rally cools, the billionaire entrepreneur Mark Cuban sees several striking similarities between the stock market’s latest trends and the dot-com bubble in the late 1990s.
The market hasn’t been very focused on fundamentals since the Federal Reserve intervened with unprecedented monetary aid in March, Cuban said on CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Monday. Since then, investors have been hastily chasing performance — after momentum strategies played out, they consistently pushed cash back into mega-cap tech stocks, he said.
“In some respects it’s different because of the Fed and the liquidity they’ve introduced and the inflation for financial assets that comes with that. But on a bigger picture, it’s so similar,” he added. “I mean, I had my 18-year-old niece asking me what stocks she should invest in because her friends are making 30% per day.”
The trend is also pulling in a swath of new capital from those entirely new to the market. Retail trading activity has surged to as high as 25% of the market from 10% in 2019, Joe Mecane, the head of execution at Citadel Securities, said in early July. That influx of new capital only boosts tech stocks’ rally further, Cuban said.
“Everybody’s a genius in a bull market, and everybody’s making money right now because you’ve got the Fed put,” he said, adding that “that brings people in who otherwise wouldn’t participate.”
The upswing isn’t set to end soon either. The dot-com bubble lasted from 1995 to early 2000, suggesting there’s plenty of time left for tech giants to rise before the market regains its focus on fundamentals, Cuban said.
He said it was “difficult to have patience sometimes” knowing that the bubble could be in its early days and that “there’s still a lot of money that can come in and chase that performance.”
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