Only ‘crystal ball’ could have predicted lockdown need, health minister Nadine Dorries suggests

Ms Dorries, who was the first sitting MP to test positive for Covid-19 in March, made the comments in response to criticism that the Government has repeatedly taken action too late.

Writing on Twitter, the Tory MP for Mid Bedfordshire said: “If only we had a crystal ball and could actually see how many over 60s would be infected, the positivity rate, the infection rate and the subsequent lag giving us the 14 day anticipated demand on hospital beds on any particular day, three weeks in advance.”

In September, the Government’s chief scientific adviser Sir Patrick Vallance warned that the UK could see 50,000 Covid-19 cases a day by mid-October – a claim which proved accurate.

He also said there could be 200-plus daily deaths in November.

Labour MP for Nottingham South Lilian Greenwood was among MPs to criticise Ms Dorries’ comments.

She tweeted: “Two weeks ago, Nadine Dorries said the whole of Notts didn’t need to go into Tier 3. 

“Looking at the numbers we’d just presented to us by Public Health England it was plain it would.

“Didn’t need a crystal ball, just the ability and willingness to look and listen.”

Frontbencher Wes Streeting added: “Astonishing to see a Health Minister – yes, a Health Minister – suggesting that only a crystal ball could have seen the need for a second lockdown.

“It was in the SAGE MINUTES.”


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